19306
70【聊了什么 The What】
TikTok的命运在这个周末迎来关键时刻。在美国最高法院以9-0全票支持禁令的背景下，这个拥有1.7亿美国用户的社交媒体平台警告将在1月19日停止运营。曾经力推TikTok禁令的特朗普，如今却可能成为其最大的救世主。这一切都发生在新旧政府交接的微妙时期。拜登政府表示不会在最后几天执行禁令，而特朗普团队则暗示要寻求通过行政手段保住TikTok。
在本期节目中，我们将分析这场前所未有的博弈：为什么最高法院会做出一致裁决？特朗普的态度背后有什么考量？当国会通过的法律、最高法院确认的判决可能被总统选择性执行，这又将如何影响美国的政治生态？让我们共同见证这个可能改变美国科技监管格局的重要时刻。
本期播客录制于美国东部时间1月18日中午。
【支持我们】
如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：
欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目： www.vistopia.com.cn
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会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。
合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com
【时间轴 The When】
00:20 过去几天关于TikTok禁令的最新进展以及各方反应
04:26 最高法院判决分析
05:18 最高法院为何采用中等审查标准？以及国家安全与言论自由的权衡
10:50 判决对其他"外国"科技公司的影响
13:35 TikTok为何态度如此强硬
17:05 [插播] 拜登对平权修正案的表态
20:45 Meta和扎克伯格最近的转变
23:35 特朗普对TikTok态度背后的考量
24:40 国会的态度变化
25:22 未来局势的短期和长期走向
28:47 总统拒不执行法案会成为常态吗？
【我们是谁】
美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。
我们的主播和嘉宾：
小华：媒体人
王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子
【 What We Talked About】
TikTok reaches a critical juncture this weekend. Following the Supreme Court's unanimous 9-0 decision to uphold the ban, the social media platform—home to 170 million American users—has announced it will shut down operations on January 19. Donald Trump, who originally championed the TikTok ban, could now emerge as its ultimate savior. These developments are unfolding during a sensitive transition period between administrations. While the Biden administration has declared it won't enforce the ban in its final days, the incoming Trump team has indicated it will seek administrative measures to keep TikTok operating in the US.
In this episode, we'll examine this unprecedented situation: What led to the Supreme Court's unanimous ruling? What are the calculations behind Trump's changing position? And when congressional legislation and Supreme Court decisions face potential selective enforcement by the president, how might this reshape America's political landscape? Join us as we witness a pivotal moment that could transform the future of tech regulation in the United States.
This episode was recorded at noon Eastern Time on January 18, 2025.
【Support Us】
If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:
Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io
Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette
Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com
【Timeline】
00:20 Latest developments on the TikTok ban and stakeholder reactions
04:26 Analyzing the Supreme Court decision
05:18 The Supreme Court's use of intermediate scrutiny: Balancing national security and First Amendment rights
10:50 Implications of the ruling for other "foreign" tech companies
13:35 Behind TikTok's assertive response
17:05 Biden's statement on the Equal Rights Amendment
20:45 Meta and Zuckerberg's recent strategic shift
23:35 Understanding Trump's position on TikTok
24:40 Evolution of Congressional attitudes
25:22 Short-term developments and long-term implications
28:47 Will presidential non-enforcement of laws become a precedent?
【Who We Are】
The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.
Our Hosts and Guests:
王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information
小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer
【拓展链接】
新新人类播客 pixelperfect.typlog.io
EP006 泼天的洋抖难民流量怎么就给了小红书？How did the TikTok refugees end up on Xiaohongshu?
